Massey Ratings

College Football


Key & Description | Conferences | CSV | 2008 | 2010

Using games from Saturday, August 22, 2009 to Thursday, January 7, 2010

group1



Least Likely Results


 1 10/31 Howard Payne (716)        38 at Mississippi Col (412)     24  0.122
 2  10/3 Merchant Marine (766)     24    Susquehanna (557)          8  0.145
 3 10/17 Purdue ( 74)              26    Ohio St (  7)             18  0.158
 4   9/5 C Oklahoma (475)          24 at W Texas A&M (220)         17  0.161
 5  10/3 Maryland (104)            24    Clemson ( 27)             21  0.164
 6   9/6 Miles (624)               23 vs Tuskegee (356)            16  0.173
 7 10/31 Marietta (598)            25    Otterbein (337)           22  0.188
 8   9/5 Kutztown (540)            25 at Clarion (286)              6  0.188
 9 11/21 Bucknell (406)            23    Holy Cross (200)          17  0.191
10 10/10 New Hampshire ( 95)       28    Villanova ( 34)           24  0.207

Retro Prediction Percentage: 87.11


Games: 3940 Average Score: 34.77 16.37 Home Team: 2172-1653 56.784 Home Score: 27.66 23.58 Higher Win Percentage: 2660-1132 70.148 Larger Margin of Victory: 3131-1308 70.534 Max Margin: 1 9/12 SF Austin (115) 92 Texas Col (856) 0 2 9/26 Sioux Falls ( 99) 80 at Concordia NE (725) 0 3 10/10 N Central IL (279) 83 North Park (745) 7 Max Total: 1 11/21 West Liberty (209) 84 Edinboro (245) 63 2 11/7 Crown MN (840) 69 at Eureka (815) 63 3 9/19 E New Mexico (492) 76 TX A&M Commerce (411) 56 Min Total: 1 10/30 MN Morris (849) 3 vs Macalester (853) 0 2 9/26 DePauw (487) 3 at Sewanee (810) 0 3 9/26 Miles (624) 6 at Clark Atlanta (668) 0

group2



Least Likely Results


 1  9/26 Col of the Canyons (238)  26    Fullerton Col (117)       13  0.192
 2  9/12 Santa Barbara City (458)  17    Col of the Canyons (238)  14  0.196
 3  9/12 Shasta Col (707)          31    Mendocino (572)           26  0.269
 4  11/7 Santa Ana Col (236)       13 at Grossmont (149)           10  0.285
 5 11/14 Santa Monica Col (443)    49 vs LA Pierce (289)           41  0.285
 6 11/14 San Bernardino Val (294)  29 vs LA Harbor (177)           21  0.287
 7  9/12 Riverside CC (446)        40    San Bernardino Val (294)  17  0.287
 8  9/12 Merced Col (662)          27 at De Anza Col (543)         12  0.303
 9  9/26 American River (555)      45 at Sierra Col (405)          34  0.324
10  11/7 LA Southwest (584)        19    Santa Monica Col (443)    18  0.326

Retro Prediction Percentage: 85.71


Games: 371 Average Score: 37.74 18.87 Home Team: 153-136 52.941 Home Score: 28.75 26.58 Higher Win Percentage: 2660-1132 70.148 Larger Margin of Victory: 3131-1308 70.534 Max Margin: 1 10/31 LA Harbor (177) 72 vs Compton CC (627) 0 2 10/24 Golden West (191) 66 Compton CC (627) 0 3 9/12 Saddleback (111) 72 at Mt San Jacinto (536) 7 Max Total: 1 10/10 LA Pierce (289) 62 West LA Col (511) 55 2 9/5 LA Harbor (177) 71 at Long Beach City Col (218) 43 3 10/17 Sacramento City (488) 71 Mendocino (572) 39 Min Total: 1 9/12 Allan Hancock (160) 10 at Reedley (365) 3 2 9/26 Cabrillo (626) 13 Hartnell (660) 3 3 9/26 Orange Coast (212) 10 Glendale CA (362) 6

group3



Least Likely Results


 1  8/27 Itawamba CC (516)         21    Jones Co CC (301)          7  0.224
 2  9/17 Holmes CC (534)           30    Coahoma CC (353)          14  0.263
 3 10/17 NM Military (202)         40    AZ Western (135)          33  0.298
 4  8/27 NW Mississippi (319)      30 at MS Gulf Coast (201)       25  0.310
 5 10/17 Mesa CC (339)             14 at Glendale AZ (237)         12  0.334
 6  11/7 Erie CC (423)             13    Georgia Mil (326)         10  0.345
 7  10/3 Erie CC (423)             22    Hudson Val (329)          21  0.349
 8   9/5 MN St CTC (829)           36    Fond du Lac T&CC (803)    21  0.351
 9 10/31 Iowa Western CC (574)     20 at Ellsworth CC (464)        17  0.364
10  10/3 Lackawanna (391)           9    Nassau CC (311)            6  0.377

Retro Prediction Percentage: 84.89


Games: 311 Average Score: 32.92 15.50 Home Team: 166-134 55.333 Home Score: 26.16 22.52 Higher Win Percentage: 2660-1132 70.148 Larger Margin of Victory: 3131-1308 70.534 Max Margin: 1 10/24 Blinn ( 90) 84 Cisco JC (327) 13 2 9/5 Grand Rapids CC (332) 62 Rock Valley (753) 0 3 9/19 Hutchinson CC (163) 61 at Dodge City CC (392) 3 Max Total: 1 11/7 E Mississippi CC (176) 75 MS Gulf Coast (201) 71 2 9/26 Grand Rapids CC (332) 77 at Ellsworth CC (464) 56 3 9/19 Snow Col (153) 64 at NM Military (202) 54 Min Total: 1 10/10 Hudson Val (329) 3 at Nassau CC (311) 0 2 10/3 Rochester C&T (647) 9 at Mesabi Range (776) 0 3 9/5 Phoenix Col (249) 8 Glendale AZ (237) 2

group4



Least Likely Results


 1  9/26 Bowdoin (476)             50    Middlebury (360)          35  0.333
 2  11/7 Bates (587)               28    Bowdoin (476)             24  0.365
 3 11/14 Bowdoin (476)             32    Colby (415)               27  0.431
 4 10/31 Middlebury (360)          31    Trinity CT (323)          24  0.446
 5  10/3 Hamilton (502)            26    Wesleyan CT (468)         14  0.455
 6 10/10 Tufts (504)               25    Bowdoin (476)             22  0.465
 7  10/3 Trinity CT (323)          26    Williams (312)            21  0.486
 8 10/31 Wesleyan CT (468)         43 at Bowdoin (476)             39  0.511
 9 10/17 Bowdoin (476)             21    Hamilton (502)             7  0.534
10  9/26 Wesleyan CT (468)          7    Tufts (504)                3  0.546

Retro Prediction Percentage: 82.50


Games: 40 Average Score: 27.62 14.90 Home Team: 25-15 62.500 Home Score: 23.55 18.98 Higher Win Percentage: 2660-1132 70.148 Larger Margin of Victory: 3131-1308 70.534 Max Margin: 1 10/3 Middlebury (360) 45 Colby (415) 0 2 10/31 Williams (312) 42 Hamilton (502) 0 3 10/10 Trinity CT (323) 38 Hamilton (502) 8 Max Total: 1 9/26 Bowdoin (476) 50 Middlebury (360) 35 2 10/31 Wesleyan CT (468) 43 at Bowdoin (476) 39 3 10/24 Trinity CT (323) 45 Bowdoin (476) 31 Min Total: 1 9/26 Wesleyan CT (468) 7 Tufts (504) 3 2 10/17 Trinity CT (323) 10 at Tufts (504) 3 3 10/31 Amherst (204) 13 at Tufts (504) 3

FBS



Least Likely Results


 1 10/17 Purdue ( 74)              26    Ohio St (  7)             18  0.158
 2  10/3 Maryland (104)            24    Clemson ( 27)             21  0.164
 3  10/3 UTEP (119)                58    Houston ( 54)             41  0.215
 4  9/26 NC State ( 69)            38    Pittsburgh ( 16)          31  0.239
 5  11/7 Northwestern ( 50)        17 at Iowa ( 10)                10  0.259
 6  10/3 Virginia ( 88)            16 at North Carolina ( 38)       3  0.261
 7  9/19 Colorado St (113)         35    Nevada ( 59)              20  0.268
 8  9/19 Washington St (114)       30    SMU ( 61)                 27  0.279
 9 10/24 Kent (139)                20 at Ohio ( 87)                11  0.283
10  9/12 ULL (122)                 17    Kansas St ( 76)           15  0.285

Retro Prediction Percentage: 82.91


Games: 714 Average Score: 34.04 18.23 Home Team: 397-264 60.061 Home Score: 28.46 24.03 Higher Win Percentage: 2660-1132 70.148 Larger Margin of Victory: 3131-1308 70.534 Max Margin: 1 11/28 Houston ( 54) 73 Rice (131) 14 2 11/21 Florida ( 2) 62 Florida Intl (169) 3 3 9/26 Texas ( 5) 64 UTEP (119) 7 Max Total: 1 10/31 North Texas (244) 68 W Kentucky (400) 49 2 10/24 Nevada ( 59) 70 Idaho ( 71) 45 3 12/5 Fresno St ( 57) 53 at Illinois ( 98) 52 Min Total: 1 10/17 Air Force ( 49) 10 Wyoming ( 55) 0 2 9/3 South Carolina ( 35) 7 at NC State ( 69) 3 3 11/21 Iowa ( 10) 12 Minnesota ( 60) 0

FCS



Least Likely Results


 1 11/21 Bucknell (406)            23    Holy Cross (200)          17  0.191
 2 10/10 New Hampshire ( 95)       28    Villanova ( 34)           24  0.207
 3 10/17 Massachusetts (167)       23    New Hampshire ( 95)       17  0.233
 4 11/21 Tennessee St (380)        21 at E Illinois (208)          10  0.239
 5 10/24 W Salem St (617)          16 at Bethune-Cookman (416)     10  0.265
 6 11/14 Hampton (393)             25    Florida A&M (240)          0  0.268
 7  9/19 Albany NY (304)           20    Maine (173)               16  0.268
 8   9/3 W Illinois (436)          35 at Sam Houston St (271)      28  0.268
 9  9/12 NC A&T (430)              17    Norfolk St (276)          13  0.279
10  11/7 Wagner (420)              32    Central Conn (269)        27  0.281

Retro Prediction Percentage: 84.94


Games: 611 Average Score: 31.13 15.94 Home Team: 342-252 57.576 Home Score: 25.56 21.60 Higher Win Percentage: 2660-1132 70.148 Larger Margin of Victory: 3131-1308 70.534 Max Margin: 1 9/12 Northern Iowa (174) 66 South Dakota (193) 7 2 9/19 McNeese St (128) 56 Savannah St (778) 0 3 9/5 Elon (108) 56 Davidson (526) 0 Max Total: 1 11/28 Montana ( 51) 61 S Dakota St (141) 48 2 11/7 Lafayette (205) 56 Colgate (210) 49 3 11/7 McNeese St (128) 63 Sam Houston St (271) 42 Min Total: 1 10/17 Yale (382) 7 at Lehigh (342) 0 2 10/3 Bryant (450) 6 Wagner (420) 2 3 10/24 Penn (161) 9 Yale (382) 0

NCAA II



Least Likely Results


 1   9/5 C Oklahoma (475)          24 at W Texas A&M (220)         17  0.161
 2   9/6 Miles (624)               23 vs Tuskegee (356)            16  0.173
 3   9/5 Kutztown (540)            25 at Clarion (286)              6  0.188
 4 10/24 West Georgia (489)        10    West Alabama (274)         9  0.221
 5  8/27 Abilene Chr (184)         19    NW Missouri (101)         14  0.222
 6  8/29 Clark Atlanta (668)       30 at Fort Valley St (479)      24  0.229
 7  9/17 Fairmont St (549)         50    Glenville St (338)        37  0.237
 8 10/24 MO Southern (377)         35 at MO Western (221)          34  0.264
 9 10/31 Pace (663)                20    American Intl (513)        9  0.266
10  8/29 Shepherd (388)            34    Shippensburg (234)        23  0.267

Retro Prediction Percentage: 85.08


Games: 764 Average Score: 35.71 17.20 Home Team: 413-332 55.436 Home Score: 28.03 25.03 Higher Win Percentage: 2660-1132 70.148 Larger Margin of Victory: 3131-1308 70.534 Max Margin: 1 10/24 Carson-Newman (180) 77 Brevard (404) 7 2 9/26 NW Missouri (101) 70 Truman St (493) 0 3 10/3 MN Duluth (155) 76 Moorhead St (706) 7 Max Total: 1 11/21 West Liberty (209) 84 Edinboro (245) 63 2 9/19 E New Mexico (492) 76 TX A&M Commerce (411) 56 3 11/14 Tarleton St (182) 57 at TX A&M K'ville (203) 56 Min Total: 1 9/26 Miles (624) 6 at Clark Atlanta (668) 0 2 9/5 Tarleton St (182) 6 at NE Oklahoma (637) 0 3 8/29 WV State (607) 6 Central St OH (771) 0

NCAA III



Least Likely Results


 1 10/31 Howard Payne (716)        38 at Mississippi Col (412)     24  0.122
 2  10/3 Merchant Marine (766)     24    Susquehanna (557)          8  0.145
 3 10/31 Marietta (598)            25    Otterbein (337)           22  0.188
 4 10/31 Moravian (635)            20 at Ursinus (407)             19  0.223
 5 10/10 Millikin (449)            19 at IL Wesleyan (247)         13  0.225
 6   9/5 Defiance (708)            13    Muskingum (553)            7  0.252
 7  9/26 Bridgewater MA (809)      40    ME Maritime (737)         14  0.256
 8  9/19 NY Maritime (819)         28 at Merchant Marine (766)     21  0.278
 9  10/3 Fitchburg St (848)        25    Bridgewater MA (809)      21  0.281
10 10/17 Ursinus (407)             16 at Johns Hopkins (260)       14  0.284

Retro Prediction Percentage: 89.00


Games: 1173 Average Score: 34.36 16.11 Home Team: 616-549 52.876 Home Score: 26.19 24.26 Higher Win Percentage: 2660-1132 70.148 Larger Margin of Victory: 3131-1308 70.534 Max Margin: 1 10/10 N Central IL (279) 83 North Park (745) 7 2 10/3 Salisbury St (522) 77 Apprentice (841) 7 3 10/17 Rowan (506) 67 at Morrisville St (777) 0 Max Total: 1 11/7 Crown MN (840) 69 at Eureka (815) 63 2 10/30 MacMurray (855) 68 vs Crown MN (840) 62 3 10/31 ME Maritime (737) 76 at Coast Guard (823) 49 Min Total: 1 10/30 MN Morris (849) 3 vs Macalester (853) 0 2 9/26 DePauw (487) 3 at Sewanee (810) 0 3 11/14 Muhlenberg (608) 7 Moravian (635) 0

NCFA



Least Likely Results


 1  9/12 Shasta Col (707)          31    Mendocino (572)           26  0.269
 2  9/12 Merced Col (662)          27 at De Anza Col (543)         12  0.303
 3  9/26 American River (555)      45 at Sierra Col (405)          34  0.324
 4  10/3 Siskiyous (577)           24    Laney (447)               14  0.341
 5  9/12 Solano CC (792)           39 at Los Medanos (742)          7  0.342
 6  11/6 Diablo Val (514)          36    Santa Rosa JC (390)        6  0.346
 7 10/24 Foothill Col (278)        28    Col San Mateo (196)       27  0.347
 8  11/7 Los Medanos (742)         18 at Merced Col (662)          17  0.354
 9 10/17 Merced Col (662)          42    Chabot (592)              20  0.361
10 10/24 Col of the Sequoias (444)  47    Fresno City Col (350)     44  0.365

Retro Prediction Percentage: 81.14


Games: 175 Average Score: 38.28 20.00 Home Team: 76-59 56.296 Home Score: 30.02 27.90 Higher Win Percentage: 2660-1132 70.148 Larger Margin of Victory: 3131-1308 70.534 Max Margin: 1 10/24 City Col San Fran (197) 76 Diablo Val (514) 13 2 9/26 Col San Mateo (196) 72 at West Valley Col (845) 10 3 12/5 City Col San Fran (197) 59 vs American River (555) 0 Max Total: 1 10/17 Sacramento City (488) 71 Mendocino (572) 39 2 9/26 De Anza Col (543) 68 Contra Costa (821) 41 3 11/14 Sacramento City (488) 54 vs American River (555) 51 Min Total: 1 9/26 Cabrillo (626) 13 Hartnell (660) 3 2 11/7 West Hills (431) 10 at Col of the Sequoias (444) 7 3 9/5 Santa Rosa JC (390) 12 Reedley (365) 6

SCFA



Least Likely Results


 1  9/26 Col of the Canyons (238)  26    Fullerton Col (117)       13  0.192
 2  9/12 Santa Barbara City (458)  17    Col of the Canyons (238)  14  0.196
 3  11/7 Santa Ana Col (236)       13 at Grossmont (149)           10  0.285
 4 11/14 Santa Monica Col (443)    49 vs LA Pierce (289)           41  0.285
 5 11/14 San Bernardino Val (294)  29 vs LA Harbor (177)           21  0.287
 6  9/12 Riverside CC (446)        40    San Bernardino Val (294)  17  0.287
 7  11/7 LA Southwest (584)        19    Santa Monica Col (443)    18  0.326
 8  10/3 Grossmont (149)           29 at Palomar Col (116)         26  0.380
 9  9/26 El Camino Col (158)       40    Bakersfield Col (137)     24  0.415
10  9/26 Saddleback (111)          24 at Mt San Antonio ( 91)      14  0.416

Retro Prediction Percentage: 89.69


Games: 194 Average Score: 37.41 17.96 Home Team: 77-75 50.658 Home Score: 27.89 25.48 Higher Win Percentage: 2660-1132 70.148 Larger Margin of Victory: 3131-1308 70.534 Max Margin: 1 10/31 LA Harbor (177) 72 vs Compton CC (627) 0 2 10/24 Golden West (191) 66 Compton CC (627) 0 3 9/12 Saddleback (111) 72 at Mt San Jacinto (536) 7 Max Total: 1 10/10 LA Pierce (289) 62 West LA Col (511) 55 2 9/5 LA Harbor (177) 71 at Long Beach City Col (218) 43 3 10/3 LA Harbor (177) 56 at Southwestern CA (334) 51 Min Total: 1 9/26 Orange Coast (212) 10 Glendale CA (362) 6 2 11/7 Chaffey (295) 10 at Col of the Desert (264) 7 3 9/19 Glendale CA (362) 10 Riverside CC (446) 7

NAIA



Least Likely Results


 1  8/29 S Dakota Tech (757)       25    MT Tech (613)             22  0.211
 2  8/29 Rocky Mtn (754)           28    Dickinson St ND (625)      7  0.235
 3 10/10 UVA-Wise (622)            32 at Campbellsville (422)      31  0.257
 4 11/14 Bethel KS (785)           30    Sterling (711)             0  0.296
 5 11/14 Faulkner (724)            24    UVA-Wise (622)            21  0.302
 6 10/17 Georgetown KY (501)       23    Cumberland KY (368)       20  0.323
 7  11/7 Dakota Wesleyan (659)     13    Northwestern IA (561)     10  0.328
 8 10/10 St Francis IN (496)       20 at Walsh (370)               14  0.330
 9  10/3 UVA-Wise (622)            28    Georgetown KY (501)       21  0.338
10 10/10 Pikeville (648)           20 at Bethel TN (550)           19  0.343

Retro Prediction Percentage: 89.91


Games: 426 Average Score: 36.61 14.82 Home Team: 218-200 52.153 Home Score: 27.29 24.34 Higher Win Percentage: 2660-1132 70.148 Larger Margin of Victory: 3131-1308 70.534 Max Margin: 1 9/26 Sioux Falls ( 99) 80 at Concordia NE (725) 0 2 10/10 Ottawa KS (322) 79 at Tabor (850) 6 3 9/12 Sioux Falls ( 99) 76 at Dana (811) 3 Max Total: 1 9/5 Eastern Oregon (583) 58 Rocky Mtn (754) 50 2 9/12 WV Tech (709) 61 at Olivet Naz (772) 38 3 9/12 McPherson (560) 60 Friends (623) 38 Min Total: 1 10/17 Hastings (453) 7 at NE Wesleyan (664) 3 2 10/24 Belhaven MS (518) 7 at Cumberland TN (539) 6 3 11/14 Briar Cliff (671) 8 at NE Wesleyan (664) 7

NJCAA



Least Likely Results


 1  8/27 Itawamba CC (516)         21    Jones Co CC (301)          7  0.224
 2  9/17 Holmes CC (534)           30    Coahoma CC (353)          14  0.263
 3 10/17 NM Military (202)         40    AZ Western (135)          33  0.298
 4  8/27 NW Mississippi (319)      30 at MS Gulf Coast (201)       25  0.310
 5 10/17 Mesa CC (339)             14 at Glendale AZ (237)         12  0.334
 6  11/7 Erie CC (423)             13    Georgia Mil (326)         10  0.345
 7  10/3 Erie CC (423)             22    Hudson Val (329)          21  0.349
 8   9/5 MN St CTC (829)           36    Fond du Lac T&CC (803)    21  0.351
 9 10/31 Iowa Western CC (574)     20 at Ellsworth CC (464)        17  0.364
10  10/3 Lackawanna (391)           9    Nassau CC (311)            6  0.377

Retro Prediction Percentage: 84.89


Games: 311 Average Score: 32.92 15.50 Home Team: 166-134 55.333 Home Score: 26.16 22.52 Higher Win Percentage: 2660-1132 70.148 Larger Margin of Victory: 3131-1308 70.534 Max Margin: 1 10/24 Blinn ( 90) 84 Cisco JC (327) 13 2 9/5 Grand Rapids CC (332) 62 Rock Valley (753) 0 3 9/19 Hutchinson CC (163) 61 at Dodge City CC (392) 3 Max Total: 1 11/7 E Mississippi CC (176) 75 MS Gulf Coast (201) 71 2 9/26 Grand Rapids CC (332) 77 at Ellsworth CC (464) 56 3 9/19 Snow Col (153) 64 at NM Military (202) 54 Min Total: 1 10/10 Hudson Val (329) 3 at Nassau CC (311) 0 2 10/3 Rochester C&T (647) 9 at Mesabi Range (776) 0 3 9/5 Phoenix Col (249) 8 Glendale AZ (237) 2

HBCU



Least Likely Results


 1   9/6 Miles (624)               23 vs Tuskegee (356)            16  0.173
 2  8/29 Clark Atlanta (668)       30 at Fort Valley St (479)      24  0.229
 3 10/24 W Salem St (617)          16 at Bethune-Cookman (416)     10  0.265
 4 11/14 Hampton (393)             25    Florida A&M (240)          0  0.268
 5  9/26 JC Smith (726)            24    St Paul's (603)           20  0.272
 6  9/12 NC A&T (430)              17    Norfolk St (276)          13  0.279
 7 10/24 Alabama St (576)          24    Alcorn St (401)           17  0.285
 8  11/7 Ark Pine Bluff (373)      49 vs Grambling (243)           42  0.302
 9  10/3 Jackson St (461)          22 vs Southern Univ (344)       14  0.339
10 10/17 Alcorn St (401)           34    Alabama A&M (303)         16  0.354

Retro Prediction Percentage: 87.44


Games: 223 Average Score: 31.30 14.00 Home Team: 109-82 57.068 Home Score: 24.97 20.37 Higher Win Percentage: 2660-1132 70.148 Larger Margin of Victory: 3131-1308 70.534 Max Margin: 1 9/19 TX Southern (248) 75 Texas Col (856) 6 2 9/12 Southern Univ (344) 68 Central St OH (771) 0 3 8/29 Concordia AL (746) 68 Texas Col (856) 0 Max Total: 1 11/7 Ark Pine Bluff (373) 49 vs Grambling (243) 42 2 9/26 Southern Univ (344) 48 Alcorn St (401) 42 3 8/29 Shaw NC (459) 54 Eliz. City St (495) 30 Min Total: 1 9/26 Miles (624) 6 at Clark Atlanta (668) 0 2 8/29 WV State (607) 6 Central St OH (771) 0 3 10/3 Howard (589) 7 W Salem St (617) 3

Massey Ratings 3.0 Copyright ©; Contact, Fri Jan 8 08:07:56 2010